🤔
So you're saying that by taking exlax I can improve my mental health?
I'm willing to give it a shot!
[6 months later]
Huh, it worked.
So you're saying that by taking exlax I can improve my mental health?
I'm willing to give it a shot!
[6 months later]
Huh, it worked.
Something seriously fucked when a military that spends more than the next 20 combined runs out of bullets for a tiny war like this one.
Never say never.
There are cases where it's happened, but admittedly it's super rare.
There are cases where it's happened, but admittedly it's super rare.
If you expect everything I post is 100% serious, then you're going to be deeply disappointed.
Did you know that God didn't actually DDOS my servers?
Did you know that God didn't actually DDOS my servers?
Not really. Especially given the post I made about 5 minutes ago about beliefs and testable predictions.
One of the key things about science is that you can use observations to produce testable predictions that help you validate your beliefs.
It seems to me that while I'm being vilified for my current beliefs, they produced a large number of testable predictions that turned out to be true and I correctly acted upon, and if I believed what won't get me vilified, then my testable predictions would have turned out wrong and I would have made different decisions that would have been markedly worse.
It seems to me that while I'm being vilified for my current beliefs, they produced a large number of testable predictions that turned out to be true and I correctly acted upon, and if I believed what won't get me vilified, then my testable predictions would have turned out wrong and I would have made different decisions that would have been markedly worse.
We'll have to disagree. I don't think there's any comparison between the exponential progress of the past and the incremental progress of today.
Like I said, I've seen a lot of the promises made, and the reality isn't nearly as exciting as the pitch.
Demos really well, but good demos are irrelevant. Eventually rubber meets road, and eventually someone needs to do something.
Like I said, I've seen a lot of the promises made, and the reality isn't nearly as exciting as the pitch.
Demos really well, but good demos are irrelevant. Eventually rubber meets road, and eventually someone needs to do something.
Pretty small advances compared to the past. Especially considering that a lot of the Artificial Intelligent is more artificial than intelligent.
I've been involved with some projects in this regard. The strings become immediately obvious the moment rubber meets road and someone actually has to do something.
I've been involved with some projects in this regard. The strings become immediately obvious the moment rubber meets road and someone actually has to do something.
Interestingly, I see the opposite. Technological progress has been dramatically stagnating for a while. Moore's law is long dead and most of the stuff we're seeing is just incremental improvements on existing concepts.
You might be too young to know what being in computers and technology used to look like. 10 years would change everything. Now 10 years isn't even a blip.
You might be too young to know what being in computers and technology used to look like. 10 years would change everything. Now 10 years isn't even a blip.
It can reduce certain parts of the need for labor in specific circumstances, but in a lot of ways you're just moving the pile of resources from one pile to the other. I've seen it first hand. Sounds so nice on paper, but eventually rubber meets road and somebody actually needs to do something.
A lot of impossible things are reasonable to imagine. The devil is in the details, and so in the imagination the details are abstracted away so you don't need to deal with them.
A lot of impossible things are reasonable to imagine. The devil is in the details, and so in the imagination the details are abstracted away so you don't need to deal with them.
One of my pet peeves is people who don't know fuck all about automation talking about automation as this thing that takes no work and will result in everyone being unemployed.
Then people go "Oh, we'll just automate that part of automating things!" as if an infinitely recursive micro-auto-automation is just a matter of taking an all nighter or two and then utopia rather than an insane endeavor of unlimited complexity.
Then people go "Oh, we'll just automate that part of automating things!" as if an infinitely recursive micro-auto-automation is just a matter of taking an all nighter or two and then utopia rather than an insane endeavor of unlimited complexity.
10 years Ago, process nodes were maybe 20nm. Today, Intel is at 10nm and tsmc is at 5nm. If Moore's law was still true we'd expect to be on a 300pm process.
Really easy: has the density of transistors you can fit in a certain size chip been doubling every 18 months?
No, not for a long time.
No, not for a long time.
Funny that you mentioned water, because that's a fantastic example of a renewable resource. I can drink as much water as I want, it's going to get pulled out of the lake, I'm going to borrow it for a bit, and then it's going to re-enter the ecosystem in the same lake that we pulled it from.
Growing up, I had the skill to fix things that were garbage for most people... They'd be about to throw a broken thing out, and they'd give it to me instead because they knew I tinkered with things. If I couldn't fix it, it would go to the garbage, but if I could fix it then suddenly people would want it back, even though that wasn't the deal. I eventually learned that if I was going to fix something, I should wait until after the person who gave me the thing couldn't see I'd fixed it to try.
You could say "but those are limited atoms and you're depriving others of them!" And be mad at me for stealing another person's valuable item, but I didn't steal anything. It was bound for a landfill and I was the last step before it was sent there, and I saved it from the landfill for a while longer. It was literal garbage, and the application of skill resulted in it no longer being garbage. The amount of value in the world increased, at least for a while.
I see something similar around a lot of resources. Some people will consume even something like a house, the thing will be destroyed once they're done with it. Other people improve upon it, and the thing is a better thing for having been held by that person. Land that would be useless and ignored is instead cultivated, and so something worthless becomes something of value. It may be "the same land", but it isn't really. The amount of actual valuable stuff in the world increased.
Of course, there is no value without an observer with a set of values to deem it so. Nothing is valuable without a subjective judge to deem it so. Whether it's a pile of sand or a pile of e-waste or a pile of refurbished electronics or a pile of brand new electronics, it's all just sand until someone sees a purpose in it. This is why value can be created by something otherwise worthless.
Growing up, I had the skill to fix things that were garbage for most people... They'd be about to throw a broken thing out, and they'd give it to me instead because they knew I tinkered with things. If I couldn't fix it, it would go to the garbage, but if I could fix it then suddenly people would want it back, even though that wasn't the deal. I eventually learned that if I was going to fix something, I should wait until after the person who gave me the thing couldn't see I'd fixed it to try.
You could say "but those are limited atoms and you're depriving others of them!" And be mad at me for stealing another person's valuable item, but I didn't steal anything. It was bound for a landfill and I was the last step before it was sent there, and I saved it from the landfill for a while longer. It was literal garbage, and the application of skill resulted in it no longer being garbage. The amount of value in the world increased, at least for a while.
I see something similar around a lot of resources. Some people will consume even something like a house, the thing will be destroyed once they're done with it. Other people improve upon it, and the thing is a better thing for having been held by that person. Land that would be useless and ignored is instead cultivated, and so something worthless becomes something of value. It may be "the same land", but it isn't really. The amount of actual valuable stuff in the world increased.
Of course, there is no value without an observer with a set of values to deem it so. Nothing is valuable without a subjective judge to deem it so. Whether it's a pile of sand or a pile of e-waste or a pile of refurbished electronics or a pile of brand new electronics, it's all just sand until someone sees a purpose in it. This is why value can be created by something otherwise worthless.