If I went with that list rather than adding myself to it, I'd be cut off from some of the best people on the fediverse.
The establishment has discovered they can shut down legitimate debate by accusing it of being related to so-called "unacceptable speech" even where it clearly isn't. The moment you can shut down something legal by routing it through something illegal, they will.
We are seeing a whole bunch of speech that has absolutely nothing to do with race, sex, gender ideology, or nationality getting reframed by The Establishment as racist sexist homophobic transphobic Russian propaganda because that way they don't need to deal with any legitimate questions.
We are seeing a whole bunch of speech that has absolutely nothing to do with race, sex, gender ideology, or nationality getting reframed by The Establishment as racist sexist homophobic transphobic Russian propaganda because that way they don't need to deal with any legitimate questions.
One of the keys to building models is coming out with actionable predictions. Human beings are mastery rationalizers, so it's very easy to come up with a model to justify any course of action, but the important question is: when you take that course of action you've justified, did things play out the way that your model predicts?
Of course, there are Black swan events that no one could predict. There is no model that would have predicted that in 2020 the entire world economy would be shut down due to a pandemic. On the other hand, a model should account for some level of unexpected events, because the world isn't static.
It is no great miracle producing a set of predictions that tomorrow will be largely the same as today. Most of the time such a model will be absolutely correct. The value comes in trying to predict what might change, in figuring out what the next Black swan event could be, or in trying to see with unbiased eyes the White swan event that is sitting right in front of you.
Human beings have the tremendously huge brains we do in part so that we can try to predict the future. That is our superpower as a species. That's why our tool use is on a completely different level than any other species, because we can imagine how we might use some incredibly complicated tool that has no present use. It also allows us to behave in ways that are insanely social. For example, one person building a piece of software that allows different social media websites to connect together. They did that imagining a future that could have thousands of different websites existing and communicating. And today we have the fediverse. It also allows us to plan ahead at a level that no other creature even comes close to. How many other species do you think have 5-year plans? How many other species do you think have 10-year plans? How many species do you think have any conception of 15 or 20 years from now? That's incredible, and it's a superpower that we have as humans.
The thing is, we need to use that superpower. Just listening to other people and letting them tell us what to do means that we're going to be doing the exact same thing as everyone else and we're never going to get ahead. Just sitting and dogmatically reciting orthodoxy in the face of new information means we're never going to get ahead. We as individuals needed to take in information as much as we can, try to build models for ourselves, and most importantly take in additional new information from the outside world to test our previous predictions, honestly and lies whether our predictions were correct, and modify our models based on that feedback from The real world so that we can make better decisions based on better predictions tomorrow.
It sure sounds like a lot of work, having to go around and put all this effort into building models, and learning more information, and testing our models, and modifying your models, but the thing is if we don't do that then we're not going to be able to make predictions ahead of the pack, and we're not going to be able to get any sort of comparative advantage. Moreover when everyone else is hurting, you could be ok because you successfully predicted the bad thing others who were relying on others to do it for you.
Once you start putting in the work, many things become much more obvious. Then you start to see the establishment saying "nobody could have predicted this!" And you sort of have to shake your head because once you're out of the echo chamber, it's just not true anymore.
Of course, there are Black swan events that no one could predict. There is no model that would have predicted that in 2020 the entire world economy would be shut down due to a pandemic. On the other hand, a model should account for some level of unexpected events, because the world isn't static.
It is no great miracle producing a set of predictions that tomorrow will be largely the same as today. Most of the time such a model will be absolutely correct. The value comes in trying to predict what might change, in figuring out what the next Black swan event could be, or in trying to see with unbiased eyes the White swan event that is sitting right in front of you.
Human beings have the tremendously huge brains we do in part so that we can try to predict the future. That is our superpower as a species. That's why our tool use is on a completely different level than any other species, because we can imagine how we might use some incredibly complicated tool that has no present use. It also allows us to behave in ways that are insanely social. For example, one person building a piece of software that allows different social media websites to connect together. They did that imagining a future that could have thousands of different websites existing and communicating. And today we have the fediverse. It also allows us to plan ahead at a level that no other creature even comes close to. How many other species do you think have 5-year plans? How many other species do you think have 10-year plans? How many species do you think have any conception of 15 or 20 years from now? That's incredible, and it's a superpower that we have as humans.
The thing is, we need to use that superpower. Just listening to other people and letting them tell us what to do means that we're going to be doing the exact same thing as everyone else and we're never going to get ahead. Just sitting and dogmatically reciting orthodoxy in the face of new information means we're never going to get ahead. We as individuals needed to take in information as much as we can, try to build models for ourselves, and most importantly take in additional new information from the outside world to test our previous predictions, honestly and lies whether our predictions were correct, and modify our models based on that feedback from The real world so that we can make better decisions based on better predictions tomorrow.
It sure sounds like a lot of work, having to go around and put all this effort into building models, and learning more information, and testing our models, and modifying your models, but the thing is if we don't do that then we're not going to be able to make predictions ahead of the pack, and we're not going to be able to get any sort of comparative advantage. Moreover when everyone else is hurting, you could be ok because you successfully predicted the bad thing others who were relying on others to do it for you.
Once you start putting in the work, many things become much more obvious. Then you start to see the establishment saying "nobody could have predicted this!" And you sort of have to shake your head because once you're out of the echo chamber, it's just not true anymore.
Why do people rob banks? Because that's where all the money is.
Why do people use ActivityPub for posting content? Because that's where all the users are.
Why do people use ActivityPub for posting content? Because that's where all the users are.
Watching a few people saying they support the #workers in the UK.
I saw exactly how quickly the left turned on the workers when the establishment called them some names. Fairweather friends.
"What? The workers fighting for their basic human rights are racist sexist misogynistic homophobic transphobic American Russian nazis? Well then you can count me out! The media has never lied about someone to please their masters!"
I saw exactly how quickly the left turned on the workers when the establishment called them some names. Fairweather friends.
"What? The workers fighting for their basic human rights are racist sexist misogynistic homophobic transphobic American Russian nazis? Well then you can count me out! The media has never lied about someone to please their masters!"
The key will be putting money away to get a serious down payment. If mortgages stay high (the historical average before 2008 destroyed all the data was 8%, so I'd plan to be able to pay a mortgage at 8%) every dollar you save now is several dollars you don't have to pay back.
Maybe talk to an accountant in your jurisdiction. There's often tricks you can use to get a lot further along, for example by using tax efficient mechanisms to store and grow your down payment.
Maybe talk to an accountant in your jurisdiction. There's often tricks you can use to get a lot further along, for example by using tax efficient mechanisms to store and grow your down payment.
People have no idea. My generation has lived through several recessions, but those recessions were all filled with helicopter money. It's cocaine -- Makes the pain go away but that doesn't mean its good for you.
I'm really hoping it's sorta messy so maybe the world economy can start worrying a bit more about actually doing real stuff again instead of just perpetually making numbers go up.
I'm really hoping it's sorta messy so maybe the world economy can start worrying a bit more about actually doing real stuff again instead of just perpetually making numbers go up.
fediblock, fedifence
Ignore them.
There's a dark place on the Fediverse filled with hateful people who wrap their hate up in nice terms, but don't be misled. These people would be the first ones lining up to guard the railcars heading to Auschwitz.
They're just looking for an excuse to knock down anyone who isn't exactly like they claim to want to be like.
The fediverse worth being on isn't a gated community with 8 meter barbed wire fences.
There's a dark place on the Fediverse filled with hateful people who wrap their hate up in nice terms, but don't be misled. These people would be the first ones lining up to guard the railcars heading to Auschwitz.
They're just looking for an excuse to knock down anyone who isn't exactly like they claim to want to be like.
The fediverse worth being on isn't a gated community with 8 meter barbed wire fences.
and e) doesn't necessarily mean there's anything wrong with it
But A-D are more important, you just need to keep E in mind to prevent accidentally falling into faulty logic
But A-D are more important, you just need to keep E in mind to prevent accidentally falling into faulty logic
Greatness comes from focusing on making yourself better every day instead of trying to change the world imo
"Turns out the correct religion appeared 7000 years ago and you slaughtered them all." oh shit
I just upgraded my Dell Latitude E5440 from Ubuntu jammy to kinetic, and the sound was totally dead. I tried a ton of things to fix it, but the command that finally fixed the problem was:
sudo touch /usr/share/pipewire/media-session.d/with-pulseaudio
systemctl --user restart pipewire-session-manager
sudo touch /usr/share/pipewire/media-session.d/with-pulseaudio
systemctl --user restart pipewire-session-manager
That's great, but my mortgage is paid from my bank account, not from the Internet as a decentralised environment, and those monsters cheered on while der fuhrer threatened to shut down all of ours.
Those guys are a fundamental existential threat to anyone who gets near them. Even my tolerance has an upper limit.
Those guys are a fundamental existential threat to anyone who gets near them. Even my tolerance has an upper limit.
Yes, you're right.
In other posts I've talked about how the dot com bubble was just the first of many massive debt bubbles caused by too much liquidity in the system. It crashed, so they added more liquidity to cause the housing bubble, it crashed, so they added more liquidity to cause the second tech bubble, it crashed so they started to add more liquidity and inflation finally hit their fake numbers (they changed inflation calculations starting in the 1980s and more later so they could inflate more without it being caught in the numbers)
So now they're stuck between a rock and a hard place -- If they look like they're not going to tackle this inflation then theres's going to be a currency crisis, but if they don't dump more liquidity into the system there's going to be a market crash and ultimately a recession that could turn into a depression.
It's not just war, it's the fact that making the market go up keeps the donor class happy and crushes the working classes. The rich don't care about the federal debt, they can just move their wealth elsewhere and they do.
In other posts I've talked about how the dot com bubble was just the first of many massive debt bubbles caused by too much liquidity in the system. It crashed, so they added more liquidity to cause the housing bubble, it crashed, so they added more liquidity to cause the second tech bubble, it crashed so they started to add more liquidity and inflation finally hit their fake numbers (they changed inflation calculations starting in the 1980s and more later so they could inflate more without it being caught in the numbers)
So now they're stuck between a rock and a hard place -- If they look like they're not going to tackle this inflation then theres's going to be a currency crisis, but if they don't dump more liquidity into the system there's going to be a market crash and ultimately a recession that could turn into a depression.
It's not just war, it's the fact that making the market go up keeps the donor class happy and crushes the working classes. The rich don't care about the federal debt, they can just move their wealth elsewhere and they do.
If these companies weren't active participants in authoritarianism then I'd agree with you.
Frankly, I don't want the CBC anywhere near me. Let's build a base on the moon and they can report the weather up there for the rest of their careers.
Frankly, I don't want the CBC anywhere near me. Let's build a base on the moon and they can report the weather up there for the rest of their careers.
I'm sure they've got sweetheart deals with platforms like facebook, instagram, youtube, they probably had a good deal with twitter...
If nothing changes, I expect rents to skyrocket in the near future.
Interest rates have increased massively. This has meant a collapse in house sales. The last time something like this happened, it drove a lot of people out of ownership entirely. Guess where people who don't own their homes go? They head into the rental market. Meanwhile, housing starts are way down. So there's going to be a growing population, fewer people able to buy, and more people renting.
It's basic economics, rents will go up.
There is precedent for this. After the 2008 housing crash, rents skyrocketed as well for the exact same reasons.
Interest rates have increased massively. This has meant a collapse in house sales. The last time something like this happened, it drove a lot of people out of ownership entirely. Guess where people who don't own their homes go? They head into the rental market. Meanwhile, housing starts are way down. So there's going to be a growing population, fewer people able to buy, and more people renting.
It's basic economics, rents will go up.
There is precedent for this. After the 2008 housing crash, rents skyrocketed as well for the exact same reasons.
It shouldn't. It should definitely stay on whatever lefty platforms it get special play on.