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I've reviewed many supreme Court cases and you have to be careful not to assume good or bad showings will result in a certain outcome. Sometimes the winner of the case gets hit hard by justices.

That being said, it's a really bad idea for this case to go any other way. People hate Trump but this standard would apply to any other presidential candidate. One arbitrary judge in some states could call anything an insurrection and suddenly elections could immediately be changed arbitrarily.

How many Democrats supported CHAZ, which was an insurrection? Insurrection is by definition an organized and usually violent act of revolt or rebellion against an established government or governing authority of a nation-state or other political entity by a group of its citizens or subjects; also, any act of engaging in such a revolt. I don't see how you could support CHAZ under such a standard and not be immediately kicked out of office.
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