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https://chrisbray.substack.com/p/emergency-brake

Great post.

Do you need a credentialed expert to tell you that you need to take a shit? Or can you figure it out on your own? How about a cadrentialed expert to tell you that you're hungry, or that you're not hungry? "Well, I don't have a government job at the hunger department so I can't really tell you whether I'm hungry or not"

Look, as an expert in a certain field myself, I do recognize that there's a lot of details that are complicated and often need someone who knows what they're doing. The thing is, it's also very easy for an expert in a field to deny reality because their limited worldview has flaws that incorrectly predict reality. A good expert would then open their eyes to the fact that they were wrong, figure out why they were wrong, and integrate the two so that your expert knowledge is reinforced by contact with reality. Unfortunately, we often see that people who are in positions of authority aren't necessarily very good experts.
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