Regarding Iran, it's tough because it's really easy to say "leave them alone they didn't do anything", what they did do a lot. They have done a lot. I left to their own devices they would continue to do a lot.
They fund terrorism abroad, including in many Western countries. The guy who started a war with them was someone attempted to assassinate, and then bragged about it. For people who support the war in Ukraine against Russia, Iran is a key of Russia and their source of both parts and expertise regarding drones. Iran is a key Ally of china, what are the sources of oil for that regime. The strait of Hormuz is a key choke point in Chinese supply chains and if China were to start that war in Taiwan they want, the street will become a critical strategic point.
I'm not going to go too far on the negatives of war because that's the story of the last 70 years. Pictures of media about Vietnam, Cuba, the Cold war, Iraq, and Afghanistan all layout in painstaking detail the reasons why war is bad. Therefore, the only discussion worth having at the moment seems to me to be why it might be different this time, or why it might not.
I'm taking a superpositional stance on this. Multiple things are true in this scenario, and the key that decide whether this war which contains both good and bad element has generally positive outcomes. Are the keys going to be whether is short, whether it is effective, and what those effects might be.
But the war in Iran definitely doesn't look like the war in Iraq at this moment, at least to me. Especially is the regime change is just making sure the new people stepping into the regime have a healthy fear of God.
They fund terrorism abroad, including in many Western countries. The guy who started a war with them was someone attempted to assassinate, and then bragged about it. For people who support the war in Ukraine against Russia, Iran is a key of Russia and their source of both parts and expertise regarding drones. Iran is a key Ally of china, what are the sources of oil for that regime. The strait of Hormuz is a key choke point in Chinese supply chains and if China were to start that war in Taiwan they want, the street will become a critical strategic point.
I'm not going to go too far on the negatives of war because that's the story of the last 70 years. Pictures of media about Vietnam, Cuba, the Cold war, Iraq, and Afghanistan all layout in painstaking detail the reasons why war is bad. Therefore, the only discussion worth having at the moment seems to me to be why it might be different this time, or why it might not.
I'm taking a superpositional stance on this. Multiple things are true in this scenario, and the key that decide whether this war which contains both good and bad element has generally positive outcomes. Are the keys going to be whether is short, whether it is effective, and what those effects might be.
But the war in Iran definitely doesn't look like the war in Iraq at this moment, at least to me. Especially is the regime change is just making sure the new people stepping into the regime have a healthy fear of God.
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