> United States and Israel have urged Iran to agree to a ceasefire
BEGGED, THE WORD YOU ARE LOOKING FOR IS BEGGED
> Netanyahu is said to be considering what some describe as a โlast-resort option.โ
> implicit reference to the potential use of nuclear capabilities
I think they might be dumb enough to do it. Strategically speaking, this is the dumbest fucking idea on the planet. Tehran is where all of the Iranian libshits live, the extremists live in the mountains. Vaporizing the libshits will have NO EFFECT on combat operations, but it will unite the Muslim world.
> Bahrain destabilized, both the UAE and Saudi Arabia now find themselves within striking distance
@lain probably ought to catch a flight... Come visit us in France (that offer is serious)
> Yesterdayโs coalition bombing campaign, intended as a show of force, appears to have had little effect.
> Instead of deterring Iranian advances, the conflict has intensified.
Vaporizing libshits in Tehran, we talked about this.
> China has deployed an intelligence vessel off the coast of Oman
LOL, Chinaman troll hard.
BEGGED, THE WORD YOU ARE LOOKING FOR IS BEGGED
> Netanyahu is said to be considering what some describe as a โlast-resort option.โ
> implicit reference to the potential use of nuclear capabilities
I think they might be dumb enough to do it. Strategically speaking, this is the dumbest fucking idea on the planet. Tehran is where all of the Iranian libshits live, the extremists live in the mountains. Vaporizing the libshits will have NO EFFECT on combat operations, but it will unite the Muslim world.
> Bahrain destabilized, both the UAE and Saudi Arabia now find themselves within striking distance
@lain probably ought to catch a flight... Come visit us in France (that offer is serious)
> Yesterdayโs coalition bombing campaign, intended as a show of force, appears to have had little effect.
> Instead of deterring Iranian advances, the conflict has intensified.
Vaporizing libshits in Tehran, we talked about this.
> China has deployed an intelligence vessel off the coast of Oman
LOL, Chinaman troll hard.
I'm just saying to @lain it's better safe than sorry. I don't see you packing your bags to fly to Tel Aviv, being in the gulf is not something I'd recommend right now.
Like, 3 or 4 years ago when RU/UA was hot, I bought a bottle of champaign as kind of a joke "we'll drink it when they drop the bomb". At that time, we lived pretty close to Paris, so it was a bit Dr. Strangelove humor...
Well, that bottle has followed us to the countryside, and it's still sitting in the fridge, it's kind of taken on a life of it's own, sitting and waiting...
Well, that bottle has followed us to the countryside, and it's still sitting in the fridge, it's kind of taken on a life of it's own, sitting and waiting...
Ah, apparently it's just a sparkling wine, not champaign region. I just grabbed something off the shelf because at the time it was more of a silly gag...
My take is this war that everyone will lose. Iran loses because it's converted into Afghanistan, US and Israel lose because they end up fighting "Afghanistan".
You're welcome to your predictions, that's mine.
You're welcome to your predictions, that's mine.
Basis of my prediction is that central govt of Iran is destroyed, or at least weakened enough that they will lose control over the fighters.
Disparate fighters will mean no possibility of centralized peace agreement, militant groups will gain credibility amongst one another by their willingness to fight more heroically. Ergo, no possible peace because nobody CAN call a peace.
Russia extremely interested in keeping this going indefinitely because it's quicksand for the US, and it runs oil to the moon which is very advantageous to them. China not thrilled at all, but it keeps the US off their back, and in any case they're not positioned to *stop* the fighting. Russia will throw them a lifeline which sweetens the deal. Probably they'll be given green light to take Taiwan.
Dynamics of the war will be decided by Moscow, who will choose which militant groups to throw their weight behind - and they have zero desire to stop this until the US empire has collapsed.
However I expect Israel will still survive because it is useful to too many countries.
Disparate fighters will mean no possibility of centralized peace agreement, militant groups will gain credibility amongst one another by their willingness to fight more heroically. Ergo, no possible peace because nobody CAN call a peace.
Russia extremely interested in keeping this going indefinitely because it's quicksand for the US, and it runs oil to the moon which is very advantageous to them. China not thrilled at all, but it keeps the US off their back, and in any case they're not positioned to *stop* the fighting. Russia will throw them a lifeline which sweetens the deal. Probably they'll be given green light to take Taiwan.
Dynamics of the war will be decided by Moscow, who will choose which militant groups to throw their weight behind - and they have zero desire to stop this until the US empire has collapsed.
However I expect Israel will still survive because it is useful to too many countries.
If we assume that Israel's goal is primacy in the region, then they don't need a protracted conflict in Iran.
They can let the US get bogged down in whatever happens, and chaos only benefits in that scenario. Another Afghanistan for the US means the US is less powerful in the region.
If everyone loses, Israel wins.
They can let the US get bogged down in whatever happens, and chaos only benefits in that scenario. Another Afghanistan for the US means the US is less powerful in the region.
If everyone loses, Israel wins.
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Yes, I think some people thought about this.
Big open question is what is the US's will to fight.
War is extremely unpopular, more so than almost any war in the past (considering it's just the start). US govt is in a pickle because Gulf is central to their geopolitical power, but war is bordering on impossible.
Big open question is what is the US's will to fight.
War is extremely unpopular, more so than almost any war in the past (considering it's just the start). US govt is in a pickle because Gulf is central to their geopolitical power, but war is bordering on impossible.
> the overwhelming plurality want nothing to do with that
Insert famous "Why of course the people don't want war" quote...
Insert famous "Why of course the people don't want war" quote...
1. Iran is banking on Shia/Sunni unification & overthrow of the kings. Unclear if it will happen, but at the very least Muslims will never fight other Muslims on behalf of Jews.
2. "Russia has it's hands full in Ukraine" they can walk and chew gum. Providing weapons and intelligence to Iran doesn't implicate their infantry.
3. Russia can provide China enough oil to survive, and they'll take the offer because they're backed into a corner. To the extent Russia wants to keep this going, they lack the muscle to stop it.
2. "Russia has it's hands full in Ukraine" they can walk and chew gum. Providing weapons and intelligence to Iran doesn't implicate their infantry.
3. Russia can provide China enough oil to survive, and they'll take the offer because they're backed into a corner. To the extent Russia wants to keep this going, they lack the muscle to stop it.
> If everyone loses, Israel will get the blame and be bogged down with the US
Everyone is currently losing. And you care about Public Relations, you probably want to reconsider when even Lindsay Graham thinks you've gone too far..
https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/international-relations/lindsey-graham-criticizes-israel-for-striking-iranian-oil-facilities/ar-AA1XNRsR
Everyone is currently losing. And you care about Public Relations, you probably want to reconsider when even Lindsay Graham thinks you've gone too far..
https://www.msn.com/en-us/politics/international-relations/lindsey-graham-criticizes-israel-for-striking-iranian-oil-facilities/ar-AA1XNRsR
Elites like territory, in Israel as in the rest of the world.
Anyway... just sent out v2 of my kernel patchset so now it's time to go plant some raspberry plants :]
Anyway... just sent out v2 of my kernel patchset so now it's time to go plant some raspberry plants :]
Yeap, those weeds don't know what they have coming heh
14 strawberries in total, now 5 raspberries and 5 blackberries and that's it for berries this season...
14 strawberries in total, now 5 raspberries and 5 blackberries and that's it for berries this season...
North Korea: trigger happy, has allegedly offered to nuke Israel directly.
@cjd @lain @truthbait @threalist
I have blackberries. They really are wanna be "weeds". The key is to set a boundary - "thus far and no farther" and ruthlessly cut any sprouts that spring up from root propagation beyond the boundary.
Also beware of "berry bugs", aka "noseeums" that eat animal skin, but unlike the more symbiotic house mites that wait for you to shed said skin, they spit corrosive chemicals on your skin to dissolve it on demand. This causes nasty allergic reactions in addition to sores from the "bites". The key is to not scratch.
I'm considering allowing them to advance a little bit in one direction each year, and advancing my mowing line a little bit from the other direction so the row is constantly rejuvenating.
Currently they're just planted in landscaping cloth, gonna throw some woodchips over them to look nice and then when they send out shoots, I'll pass through cutting holes in the cloth and plant the shoots. At least for the first couple of years until they're established.
Currently they're just planted in landscaping cloth, gonna throw some woodchips over them to look nice and then when they send out shoots, I'll pass through cutting holes in the cloth and plant the shoots. At least for the first couple of years until they're established.
Those are just for making my yard a "fun place". Having stuff just growing random places and it's delicious, and you can just walk around munching... it's just irreplaceable.
However, I do have a couple of elderberries as an experiment to see if that works out. Supposedly dried elderberries are 30$ a pound.
However, I do have a couple of elderberries as an experiment to see if that works out. Supposedly dried elderberries are 30$ a pound.