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I've been asked a few times about whether 2024 is going to be a better year than 2023.

My prediction for 2024 is the massive undeniable recession hits hard. Economically it's going to be hard for everyone... It already is and has been.

On the other hand, I think that it could be a massive win on a bunch of other fronts. Culturally, I think that freedom has passed its nadir and is on the upswing, even if we dont feel it much yet. The forces keeping authoritarianism alive are now feeling the pull of gravity because authoritarians tend to be incompetent, and they believe their own hype.

Spending the time developing family relationships, and personal relationships, communities, nurturing my son, making plans for all kinds of activities this year that don't rely on economic throughput to be fulfilling. I've made a lot of progress on my next book, I would like to see if I can get that done before the end of 2024.

Materialism is an incorrect ideology. You can get every bit of stuff in the world that you ever wanted, and it won't make you happy. Stuff doesn't really matter. What matters is relationships, setting personal goals and either achieving them or doing your best to try to achieve them, and fighting to live a life that you can be proud of regardless of your material circumstances.

So even though our material situation will be I expect worse in 2024 than 2023, I expect 2024 to be a much better year because we are achieving, and we are learning, and we are building.

I don't think it necessarily needs people to get it right for Liberty to win. Are we really need is for one group to lack a monopoly on power, and that balance of power will help prevent anyone from pushing too hard because it'll just push everyone else in the arms of someone else.

I don't want theocracy anymore than you do, but thankfully the right has a lot more than one faction included within it. You've got the red pillers, the petersonians, the theocrats, the libertarians, and I tend to think as long as there's a coalition there and an opposition there will be compromises that give more people a little of what they want and that'll look like more freedom overall. That is in contrast to ideological homogeneity where you're free to be exactly what everyone else is like.

I'm not sure I agree with you that Christianity is a failure as an ally in liberty.

Christianity has been a driving force for liberty in the west. The magna carta was drafted by the archbishop of Canterbury and is considered one of the founding documents of modern liberty.

Concepts such as all men being created equal and the idea of one law that applies to everyone are direct descendants of Christianity.

It was under such circumstances that the freest societies in the history of the world developed. They didn't develop in China which was technologically superior for much of its history, nor any other part of the world. It developed in the west due to a confluence of factors including the influence of Christianity.

It hasn't always been perfect and has its own scores of black marks, but if there's one thing I've been gaining an appreciation for it's the unusual society we're living in that's based on a really strange ideology that has led us to have the attitudes we have. If we didn't have certain factors people want to get rid of, it's likely we never would have developed to even care about something like liberty in the first place.
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> the Medieval Icelandic Commonwealth (the only example of a peaceful/voluntary transition of state power from Pagan to Christian)

Hmm. This is very false.

How about Rome, for example?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constantine_the_Great_and_Christianity